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Economic Forum


ECB kept policy rate on hold

7 March 2014

The ECB maintained its refinancing rate at 0.25% in March. Besides, there was no additional monetary policy introduced after the meeting, which was much in line with our expectation...Read More


Eurozone February flash CPI stabilized at 0.8% YoY

3 March 2014

Eurozone price level stood at 0.8% YoY for the third consecutive month in February 2014 according to flash estimate. The headline figure was dampened by a further decline in energy prices that registered...Read More


Japan January CPI declined 0.2% MoM

28 Feb 2014

Japan’s CPI in January 2014 posted a negative growth of -0.2% MoM for the first time over the past year, while the figure in the previous month was 0.0% MoM. Stripping out prices change in food and energy,...Read More


Eurozone PMI retreated to 52.7

21 Feb 2014

Eurozone flash composite PMI in February retreated to 52.7 from 52.9, the final reading of January 2014. The decline was caused by manufacturing PMI, which edged down by 1 ppt to 54.0. Service PMI advanced...Read More


Japan 4Q13 GDP increased 0.3%

18 Feb 2014

Japan 4Q13 GDP growth registered at 0.3% QoQ, which was the same as that in 3Q13. The reading somewhat disappointed market as 4Q13 GDP was expected to reach 0.7% QoQ. For the whole year of 2013, the figure...Read More


Eurozone 4Q13 GDP grew 0.3%

17 Feb 2014

Eurozone 4Q13 GDP first estimate registered at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% in 3Q13. Among all member countries, GDP growth of Germany speeded up to 0.4% from 0.3%. France and Italy in 4Q13 both posted a growth...Read More


Fine-tuning China’s Growth Model Amid Economic Slowdown

17 Feb 2014

China recorded 7.7% real GDP growth in 4Q13, which is the same as the whole year’s growth rate, and the second consecutive year of less than 8.0% growth. It is also the second consecutive year when realized...Read More


ECB maintained status quo in policy rate

7 Feb 2014

ECB decided to keep its key policy rate unchanged after meeting on 6 February 2014. Currently the refinancing rate is maintained at a historically low level of 0.25% since November 2013...Read More


Japan trade deficit deterioration slowed down

27 Jan 2014

Japan trade deficit climbed to JPY 1302.1bn in December 2013 from that of JPY 1293bn in the previous month, stabilizing at a higher level. On a YoY basis, imports registered an increase of 24.3% while...Read More


BoJ more confident on inflation commitment

27 Jan 2014

In BoJ’s meeting in December 2013, participants confirmed the improvement in domestic economy. In terms of monetary policy, recent upward inflation has made the bank governors somewhat comfortable that...Read More


Eurozone PMI advanced while fragmentation remained

24 Jan 2014

Eurozone flash composite PMI stood at 53.2 in January 2014, compared with 52.1 in December 2013. Both manufacturing and service sub-index recorded an increase, growing to 53.9 and 51.9 from 52.7 and 51.0...Read More


Eurozone industrial production bounced back on a low base

15 Jan 2014

Eurozone industrial production increased 1.8% MoM in November 2013, compared with -0.8% MoM in October 2013. On a YoY basis, the figure posted an increase of 3.0%. However, it remained at a low level of...Read More


ECB Refi rate maintained at record low of 0.25%

10 Jan 2014

The ECB chose to keep its core policy rate unchanged in the meeting in January 2014. Refinancing rate was maintained at historically low of 0.25% since an unexpected cut by 25bp late November in 2013....Read More


Eurozone unemployment rate stabilized at a high level

9 Jan 2014

Eurozone unemployment rate stabilized at 12.1% in November 2013, remaining unchanged since April 2013. It still was a high level by international comparison. In terms of composition, the reading actually...Read More


Downward inflation indicated the inefficiency of policy rate cut

8 Jan 2014

Euro-zone flash estimate on inflation rate registered at 0.8% YoY in December 2013, edging down from 0.9% YoY last November. Food prices saw a slight increase to 1.8% YoY. Energy prices stayed unchanged,...Read More


Japan manufacturing PMI edged up

30 Dec 2013

December Japanese manufacturing PMI edged up to 55.2 from 55.1 in the previous month. The figure reached the highest level since July 2006. However sub-indices posted a mixed picture albeit standing at...Read More


Japan Core CPI remained moderate

30 Dec 2013

November Japan CPI registered a 1.6% YoY growth, comparing with 1.1% one month ago. The reading was mainly driven by a higher food price level. Given low base in last November, it advanced to 1.2% YoY...Read More


Hong Kong Economic Outlook for 2014

23 Dec 2013

Hong Kong GDP grew by 2.9% YoY, 3.2% YoY and 2.9% YoY annualized in the first three quarters this year, registering an increase at 3% YoY annualized in average...Read More


Japan trade balance dipped further

18 Dec 2013

Japan’s trade deficit in November climbed to JPY 1293bn, hitting the historical high. Though decelerating significantly, imports posted an increase of 21.1% YoY, which was still higher than exports growth...Read More


Divergence between two core countries widening

17 Dec 2013

December EU flash composite PMI edged up to 52.1 from the final reading of 51.7 in late November. The figure was mainly driven by growth in manufacturing sector, PMI of which hit more than two and half-year...Read More

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