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1.

Exploring the New Order of Global Trade amid the U.S. Trade Policy Shift

13 April 2017

After the U.S. President Donald Trump signed the memorandum to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement, the world’s largest economy is no longer taking the lead on multilateral tra...Read More

2.

Four New Trends of China’s Economic Developments in 2017

28 Feb 2017

China’s economy has been growing steadily since 2016, with an emerging “L-shaped” pattern. Although considerable headwinds remain, structural upgrade has become a major growth driver. While China’s ec...Read More

3.

Hong Kong Economy: Low Growth Trend Will Continue Ahead

15 Dec 2016

In 2016, the economic growth of Hong Kong is expected to be around 1.5%, not only lower than the 2.4% growth in 2015, but also lower than the 3.4% average over the past decade...Read More

4.

Trump’s New Deal and Its Impacts on Hong Kong’s Trade and Investment

1 Dec 2016

Though Trump’s victory in the presidential election was regarded as the greatest black swan event in the recent years, the result reflected the deep-rooted dilemmas that have long existed in the US af...Read More

5.

Trump’s New Deal and Its Impacts on Hong Kong’s Trade and Investment

30 Nov 2016

Though Trump’s victory in the presidential election was regarded as the greatest black swan event in the recent years, the result reflected the deep-rooted dilemmas that have long existed in the US af...Read More

6.

Rising Trade Protectionism and its Impact on Hong Kong

20 Oct 2016

Since the financial crisis, the economic recovery remained sluggish globally, which could, to a certain extent, be directly attributable to the slowdown of global trade flows...Read More

7.

Five Driving Forces for Hong Kong’s Offshore RMB Market following the Currency’s Inclusion in the SDR Basket

5 Oct 2016

On October 1st, the RMB was officially included in the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket of currencies. With a weight of 10.92%, the RMB trails only the dollar and the Euro among the five inte...Read More

8.

What Are the Solutions of Hong Kong’s Trade Predicament?

12 Sept 2016

Hong Kong’s trade has been persistently contracting. It has contracted for 15 months in a row from May last year to July this year...Read More

9.

Why Hong Kong Equity Market Underperformed over the Past Few Years

27 July 2016

Over the past few years, the role of Hong Kong as a gateway between the Mainland and the world has become remarkably prominent...Read More

10.

Low Growh Ahead - Analysis of Hong Kong Economic Trend in 2H 2016

24 June 2016

In 1H 2016, Hong Kong economy was affected by the global economic uncertainties, volatile financial markets, relatively high Hong Kong dollar exchange rate, sluggish merchandise trade and tourism perf...Read More

11.

What is the likelihood of severe property price correction?

29 April 2016

Hong Kong residential property market entered into a correction phase since September last year. Based on the Centa-City Leading Index (CCL), the residential property prices declined around 13% betwee...Read More

12.

Hong Kong and Singapore’s Experience on the Impossible Trinity and its Implications for the Mainland

25 Feb 2016

In the 1960s, Robert A. Mundell and J. Marcus Fleming pointed out in a general equilibrium model that monetary policy is effective in both fixed and floating exchange rate regimes if there is no free ...Read More

13.

How the Current Interest Rate Adjustment Differs from the Previous Rate Hike Cycle

19 Jan 2016

Seventy-eight months after the great recession ended, the Fed at last decided to end its zero interest rate policy...Read More

14.

Hong Kong Economy Will Continue Its Moderate Growth Trend

11 Dec 2015

In the first three quarters of 2015, Hong Kong economy expanded 2.5% in real terms, continuing its moderate growth trend of 2.4% and slowing markedly from the 3.9% average over the past decade...Read More

15.

The Trajectory of the Dollar and its Impact on RMB Internationalization

4 Dec 2015

Recently, the RMB has remained weak against the dollar. Even though the IMF deemed the RMB a freely usable currency and recommended it be included in the SDR basket, this favorable assessment did not ...Read More

16.

A Comparative Analysis on the Balance Sheet Adjustment Mechanisms of the Big Four Central Banks

12 Nov 2015

In recent months, market participants have been fixated on when the Fed is going to raise interest rates. Regardless of when it is going to act, the Fed’s next move is likely to tighten, which is in s...Read More

17.

Analysis on the downside pressure and structural adjustment of the Mainland economy

15 Oct 2015

Recently, the Caixin manufacturing PMI hit a fresh new low and the industrial profits of enterprises above designated size recorded a notably decline, reiterating market concern over the slowdown of t...Read More

18.

The Daunting Challenges Emerging Markets Are Facing

6 Sept 2015

Recently, the exchange rates of Indonesian Rupiah and Malaysia Ringgit have fallen to 17-year lows against the US dollar, approaching the historical lows recorded during the Asian Financial Crisis in ...Read More

19.

Hong Kong’s Economic Growth to Remain Moderate in the Second Half

20 June 2015

In the first quarter of 2015, Hong Kong economy expanded 2.1% in real terms over the same period of last year, slightly slower than the 2.4% in the previous quarter and lower than 3.9% average over th...Read More

20.

Headwind? Tailwind!Examining the Direct Impacts of the RMB’s Possible Inclusion into the SDR

25 May 2015

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) unofficially begins its quintuple review of the SDR basket in recent days, with official result to be expected in October, and implementation at the beginning of ...Read More

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