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U.S. Stocks Reached New Highs but Elevated Optimistic Sentiment Brings a Near-term Warning Sign

2 Dec 2019

November brought the first real S&P 500 break out of its long and volatile trading range dating back to January 2018. Hopes for a United States-China trade deal and ample liquidity courtesy of the Fed...Read More


U.S. Stocks Have Surged on Hopes of a Near-Term “Phase One” Trade Deal Yet Major Issues Remain Unresolved

18 Nov 2019

U.S. stocks have broken out to the upside and surpassed their all-time highs. Recent gains have come on the heels of increased hopes of a signed “phase one” deal by year-end; the Fed’s accommodative r...Read More


U.S. Stocks Have Made Little Headway with Mixed Earnings and Economic Data

4 Nov 2019

Economic data has been mixed of late, with “soft” and “hard” measures telling different stories. While volatility has receded lately and geopolitical tensions haven’t heated up, little-to-no progress ...Read More


The U.S. Stocks Continue to Face Pressure as Trade Tensions Have Heated Up

21 Oct 2019

Volatility has resurfaced due to a revival in trade tensions, heated political fighting in Washington, and confusion over whether the Fed will continue to ease or hold off on rate cuts later this mont...Read More


U.S. Stocks Have Been Relatively Stable in the Absence of Trade Escalation

8 Oct 2019

The lack of trade news has kept volatility subdued lately, but stocks have still made limited headway over the past 20 months. With much uncertainty remaining with regards to trade, monetary policy, p...Read More


The U.S. Stocks Have Climbed Higher but Economic and Trade Uncertainties Remain

23 Sept 2019

U.S. stocks have broken out of their recent trading range and moved closer to all-time highs as trade tensions have marginally subsided and the European Central Bank has engaged in further easing. The...Read More


Risks Remain as Manufacturing Sentiment and Activity Continue to Be Weak

9 Sept 2019

While manufacturing continues to weaken and the U.S.-China trade dispute shows no sign of a resolution, the U.S. consumer continues to power the economy thanks to positive wage growth and a tight labo...Read More


The U.S. Equities Could Remain Volatile with Market and Economic Uncertainty Mounting

26 Aug 2019

U.S. equity indexes have recently experienced some wild swings and an uptick in volatility—yet they have also shown some resilience, potentially misleading investors that the recent economic downturn ...Read More


U.S. Equities Have Trended Higher But the Recent Pullback Could Be a Sign of Things to Come

12 Aug 2019

Investors have largely ignored mounting economic warning signs, pushing U.S. stocks steadily higher over the past two months. Hope for looser monetary policy has boosted investor sentiment and pushed ...Read More


U.S. Stock Indexes Reached New Highs but Recent Data Shows Reasons for Concern

29 July 2019

Stocks recently hit new record highs but sentiment is elevated and the possibility of disappointments may be rising. Lower rates could be an offset to ongoing trade tensions, but lower rates are unlik...Read More


U.S. Stocks Continue to Edge High After Trade Truce

15 July 2019

The latest break-out to new all-time highs for the S&P 500 is the third major peak since January 2018 but top-line growth is unquestionably under pressure courtesy of the weak global economy and the t...Read More


An Easing of Trade Tensions Could Keep the Rally in the U.S. Stocks Alive

2 July 2019

Trade and Fed policy continue to be critical to the outlook for the U.S. stocks. U.S. stocks have made little headway over the past 18 months; and with indexes around the highs of the recent range, an...Read More


Potential Opportunity may Emerge Amid Bouts of Weakness in the U.S. Market

17 June 2019

May’s selling pressure helped relieve overly optimistic investor sentiment conditions that had accompanied the late-April market highs, helping set up the opportunity for the bounce since early June. ...Read More


Best Time to Consider International Exposure in the Midst of the Trade Drama

3 June 2019

Trade tensions will likely continue to contribute to increase volatility and the longer it drags on, the bigger hit to economic growth, consumer/business confidence and the stock market. For those inv...Read More


Healthy Pullback in U.S. Equities While Trade Deal Uncertainty Looms

20 May 2019

Stocks rebounded from the “near bear market” low in late December, but stalled as new records were set; before pulling back as trade tensions with China ratcheted up. Sentiment had moved further into ...Read More


A Healthy Near-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Could Afford Better Investment Opportunity

6 May 2019

It has been a stunning reversal of fortunes for U.S. stocks. The V-shaped recovery since the near-bear market in last year’s fourth quarter has put the major indexes back to or near record. It has rec...Read More


U.S. Stocks Resumed Uptrend but Risk of a Pullback Appears Elevated

8 April 2019

U.S. stocks have continued their sporadic move higher, after a short-lived dip associated with the inversion of the yield curve; recovering much of their fourth quarter 2018 losses. Positive macro sup...Read More


Rising U.S. Recession Concerns

25 March 2019

The market environment can change quickly. Volatility surged (before quickly retreating) over growth concerns in the United States and much of the rest of the world. Pessimism as per the American Asso...Read More


Is the U.S. Market Overcorrecting the Correction?

11 March 2019

With the stock market’s gains, alongside a deteriorating corporate earnings outlook, the valuation recovery suggests equities are priced for a stream of good news—a deal with China. The recent market ...Read More


Be Careful What You Wish for in the U.S. Market

25 Feb 2019

U.S. economic growth, while remaining in positive territory, has definitely slowed courtesy of tighter financial conditions last year, weak global growth, the trade-related denting of “animal spirits,...Read More

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