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Policy Support on Its Way

28 Oct 2016

Economic data for mainland China came in stronger than expected in August, easing concerns about the near-term outlook for the economy...Read More


How Much Hong Kong Interest Rates Will Rise in Next Tightening Cycle?

14 Oct 2014

US Federal Reserve currently anticipates that it will hold the federal funds target rate unchanged at 0 – 0.25% for a “considerable time” after its asset purchase programme ends in October this year. ...Read More


Accessing Hong Kong's Capital Flows

18 July 2014

An obligation to defend Hong Kong’s currency band has led the HKMA to purchase US dollars since early July, injecting a total of HKD43.7 billion into the banking system. A great deal of attention has ...Read More


Private Consumption Showing Signs of Softness

30 June 2014

Unlike many other economies in Asia, the first-quarter slowdown in GDP growth in Hong Kong was due mainly to weaker private consumption...Read More


Quantifying the Impacts of Slowing Mainland Chinese Growth

15 April 2014

With improved market confidence regarding the short-to-medium term policy strategies of the world’s major central banks, concerns over slowing economic growth in mainland China are moving back into th...Read More


Economic Outlook 2014: A Year in Transition

11 Dec 2013

Fiscal risks in the advanced economies seem to have faded, but new risks arise from changes in global financing conditions. The economic landscape in 2014 would likely be characterised by two trends....Read More


Third Plenum Unveils a Blueprint for Reform

11 Dec 2013

October macro data showed that economic growth momentum was still solid. Not only did domestic demand hold up well, external demand also rebounded. We maintain our full-year growth forecast of 7.7% ...Read More


Third-quarter GDP Preview: Staying on Course for Recovery

5 Nov 2013

On 15th November, the overall picture on how the Hong Kong economy has been travelling for the third quarter of 2013 will emerge with the GDP data. Macroeconomic data in hand implies the real economy...Read More


Rebounding Growth and Inflation, and Fine-tuning Monetary Policy

1 Nov 2013

Mainland China’s real GDP growth rebounded to 7.8% in the third quarter from 7.5% in the second quarter and 7.7% in the first quarter. The recovery could be sustained into the final quarter and next ...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

28 Oct 2013

Two weeks after the partial government shutdown and a day ahead of the debt limit deadline, US Congress passed a bill at the eleventh hour on 16 October to reopen the government until January 15 and r...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

15 Oct 2013

The US Federal Reserve will hold its regular meeting on October 29 and 30. At its previous meeting in mid-September, the Committee unexpectedly decided not to taper, keeping the size of its asset pur...Read More


Dark Clouds Still Loom Over the Hong Kong Economy

15 Oct 2013

With abating growth worries in mainland China, reduced risks over the Syrian crisis, and deferred Fed tapering, a better end to the year appears to be in store for Asia...Read More


Second-quarter GDP Preview: A Mild Pickup in Growth

12 Aug 2013

Hong Kong will release its advance GDP estimate for the second quarter on 16th August. Data over the past three months point to an improvement in economic performance last quarter. Consumer spending h...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

5 Aug 2013

It has been a busy two weeks for central bankers, with the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia all holding regular meetings. The outcome of al...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

25 July 2013

The Fed could exit quantitative easing as early as September this year. That seems to be the majority view after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke outlined a roadmap for halting the Fed’s asset purchase progr...Read More


Economic Outlook Remains Challenging

25 July 2013

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced on 19 July that it will remove the lending rate floor but keep mortgage rates unchanged. Although the reform will have little immediate impact, it signals ...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

12 July 2013

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke outlined a timetable for exiting QE in mid-June. His comments not only led to a sell-off in global stocks and bonds, which had thrived on the ultra-easy monetary policy, but ...Read More


Recovery Outlook Remains Intact, but Risks Bear Watching

12 July 2013

After a solid start to the year, global economic and financial conditions seemed to have deteriorated in recent weeks. The fear of an imminent scaling back of the US Fed’s asset purchases and a spike...Read More


Global Market Intelligence

24 June 2013

The Federal Reserve left policy unchanged after its June meeting, but Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comments at the post-meeting press conference raised the prospect of an end to quantitative easing...Read More


No Strong Rebound in the Second Quarter

24 June 2013

May data confirmed that mainland China's economic growth continued to lose momentum. Although retail sales growth slightly edged up, the growth of industrial production and fixed asset investment (FA...Read More

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